Industry Applications of Causal Inference

Industry
Lecture Notes
Decision Science

This course translates causal designs into the decisions companies actually make. The examples are framed around marketing incrementality, pricing, recommendations, retention, feature rollouts, marketplaces, policy settings, and the final step that often matters most: turning an estimate into a decision memo.

The objective is to show how causal inference becomes operational work. By the end of the course, a reader should be able to map business questions to estimands, choose designs that match available variation, identify the operational constraints around launch decisions, and communicate results in a way that separates evidence, assumptions, risks, and recommendations.

Revenue trend before and after a campaign launch

Figure: Campaign-launch revenue trends, connecting causal design to the kind of business question that teams actually face (adapted from Lecture 01: Marketing Incrementality).

Lecture Sequence

01. Marketing Incrementality

This lecture connects Marketing Incrementality to business context, estimand choice, diagnostics, tradeoffs, and recommendation quality.

02. Pricing and Promotions

This lecture develops Pricing and Promotions with examples that make assumptions, diagnostics, and interpretation visible.